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Six of the Magnificent Seven companies — Alphabet , Apple , Amazon.com , Meta Platforms , Microsoft and Nvidia — are set to be the top six companies driving year-over-year earnings growth in the fourth quarter, Butters noted. Without them, earnings in the other 494 other S & P 500 companies are set to have fallen by 10.5%. And, taken as a whole, S & P 500 earnings are tracking to have eased 1.4% in the quarter. "Are companies in the 'Magnificent 7' ... expected to drive earnings higher for the S & P 500 for the fourth quarter?" In the first quarter of 2024, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms and Nvidia are projected to report year-over-year earnings growth of almost 80%.
Persons: John Butters, Butters, Dave Sekera, Sekera, FactSet's John Butters Organizations: FactSet, Microsoft, Nvidia, Apple, Morningstar Research Services Locations: U.S
The S & P 500 rallied more than 1% on Friday, above both its closing and intraday records that it last reached in January 2022. "Meaning that when a major index like the S & P 500, like the Nasdaq 100, reaches a new all time high, what it does is, it clears the charts of resistance." For 2024, Wald anticipates the S & P 500 will end the year at the 5,400 level, representing a roughly 12% rise from Friday's close of 4,839.81. Inflation data, earnings ahead Next week will also bring the Fed's preferred inflation gauge for December, which is expected to confirm the recent trend of easing inflation. Leading Indicators Tuesday Jan. 23 10 a.m. Richmond Fed Index (January) Earnings: General Electric , Synchrony Financial , D.R.
Persons: it's, Katie Stockton, we've, Oppenheimer's Ari Wald, Wald, Dow Jones, That's, Dave Sekera, Sekera, Jan, Johnson, Lockheed Martin, Lockheed Martin Wednesday Jan, Kimberly, Clark, Northrop Organizations: Fed, Nasdaq, Morningstar Research Services, Richmond Fed, Synchrony, Raytheon Technologies, Verizon Communications, Halliburton, Johnson, Procter, Gamble, Lockheed, Lockheed Martin Wednesday, PMI, SA, PMI Manufacturing SA, PMI Services SA, Abbott Laboratories, Chicago, New, . Kansas City Fed Manufacturing, Northrop Grumman, Southwest Airlines, American Airlines, Comcast, PCE, Norfolk, American, CNBC Locations: Stockton, U.S, Horton, Freeport, McMoRan, . Kansas
New York CNN —Cash is king right now, but investors aren’t casting stocks away completely. Yields jumped on Thursday, after Fed Chair Jerome Powell said in a speech that he’s unsure whether the central bank has adequately tightened monetary policy. Ham says he sees opportunities in dividend growth stocks, whose declines this year mean they’re priced at attractive levels. Investors also shouldn’t overlook small-cap stocks, says Matt Stucky, chief portfolio manager of equities at Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company. However, investors are bullish about another pause in rate hikes next month, according to fed funds rate futures.
Persons: Cash, That’s, Jerome Powell, , Emerson Ham III, Ham, Dave Sekera, he’s, They’re, hasn’t, Matt Stucky, Stucky, It’s, , ” Powell, Bryan Mena, Powell, Trevor, Elon Musk, Clare Duffy, Musk, Read Organizations: CNN Business, Bell, New York CNN, Federal Reserve, Investment Company Institute, Treasury, Advisors, Big Tech, Morningstar Research Services, Utilities, Northwestern Mutual Wealth Management Company, International Monetary Fund, Economic, of New, LinkedIn, Facebook, Center, Anti, Defamation League, ADL Locations: New York, Washington ,, of New York
Stocks will try to maintain their upward momentum next week after a strong start to November, with Treasury yields falling from their highs and investors betting the Federal Reserve may well be done raising interest rates. Those gains came after the Fed kept rates unchanged for a second straight meeting, and as bond yields tumbled. Earnings and economic data Of course, investors will absorb some notable data next week. "Bond yields are the primary concern for investors and what drives bond yields are supply and demand," Stovall said. Initial Claims (11/04) Earnings: Wynn Resorts Friday, Nov. 10, 2023 10 a.m. Michigan Sentiment preliminary (November) 2 p.m. Treasury Budget (October)
Persons: Stocks, Sam Stovall, Stovall, FactSet, D.R, Horton, Jerome Powell, he's, they've, Dave Sekera, Cook, John Williams, Sekera, you've, Erika H, James, Ralph Lauren, Warner Organizations: Treasury, Reserve, Nasdaq, Fed, Stock Traders, International Monetary Fund, Morningstar Research Services, Duke University, New York Federal Reserve, Duke University ,, Economic Club of New, Harvard Club, Consumer Credit, Occidental Petroleum, eBay, Air Products, Chemicals, DC, Walt Disney Company, MGM Resorts International, Warner Bros, Wynn Resorts, Treasury Budget Locations: Michigan, U.S, Washington ,, Duke University , Durham, N.C, Economic Club of New York, Horton, Washington, a.m
The US economy is surging, with growth coming in at a hotter-than-expected 4.9% for the third quarter. But problems elsewhere could still be bad news for big US companies, including Apple and Tesla. China's slowing economy and the war between Israel and Hamas are both potential headwinds, according to analysts. AdvertisementAdvertisementThe China challengeThat's bad news for mega-cap US firms such as Apple and Tesla, which count the Asian nation as a major market. On balance, risks to global growth continue to be skewed to the downside," the International Monetary Fund said in its Global Financial Stability report published last month.
Persons: , Ukraine — that's, headwinds, Goldman Sachs, GfK, Michael Field, it's, Tom Donilon, Susan Li, Li Organizations: Apple, Service, Nvidia, Intel, Nike, China —, Morningstar Research, stoke, of America, DuPont, Procter, Gamble, International Monetary Fund Locations: Israel, China, Ukraine, Beijing, BlackRock, Iran
Mutual funds are preparing to issue 2023 capital gains distributions — and that could mean a tax surprise is lurking in your portfolio. Fund families are issuing estimated capital gains distributions, which they will make to their shareholders in December. The IRS deems these capital gains to be long term, meaning they're subject to rates of 0%, 15% or 20%, based on your taxable income and filing status. "Excluding 2022, we've had 10-plus years of strong stock market performance, and funds are sitting on embedded gains," said Welch. Portfolios that are actively managed can also generate big capital gains if there's a lot of turnover.
Persons: it's, Stephen Welch, we've, Welch, that's, you've, It's Organizations: Columbia Real Estate Equity Fund, IRS, Morningstar Research, Planning
Investors in high-tax locales can protect some of their portfolio income from steep levies by adding state-specific municipal bond funds to their fixed-income roster. "In the muni bond fund market, we're seeing yields higher than they have been in more than a decade," said Amy Arnott, portfolio strategist for Morningstar Research Services. That's because while muni bond income is generally free of federal taxes, it can also avoid state levies if the investor resides in the state where the bond was issued. That's where state-specific muni bond funds come into the picture. See below for a chart of 10 large state-focused muni bond funds.
Persons: Bonds, haven't, Amy Arnott, Dan Herron, Herron, Arnott, CNBC's Gabriel Cortes Organizations: Federal Reserve, Muni Bond ETF, Morningstar Research Services, Vanguard, SEC, Vanguard New, CPA, Wealth Advisors, muni Locations: California, New York, Massachusetts, Ohio, Jersey
If you look up the top institutional investors in these firms, you will find major asset managers close to the top of the list. 2, and State Street is No. State Street, Vanguard and BlackRock are the top shareholders in Lockheed, in that order. Pfizer's top shareholders: Vanguard, BlackRock and State Street. That's because BlackRock makes money by collecting fees from its investors, not by reaping profits from the companies it invests in.
Persons: Lockheed Martin, Daniel Sotiroff Organizations: Apple, Lockheed, Pfizer, Vanguard, BlackRock, Morningstar Research Services, State Locations: BlackRock
The Carnival cruise ship Sunrise is seen docked at Miami Port, in Miami, Florida, U.S., June 18, 2022. Unlike other major cruise operators, Carnival does not hedge against volatility in oil prices. The company was "not thinking" about fuel hedging at this point, CFO David Bernstein told Reuters in an interview. Instead, to reduce the fuel burn, Carnival was looking at fuel optimization technologies and enhancing itineraries, Bernstein added. CRUISE DEMAND THRIVESCruise operators have benefited from pent-up travel demand following the pandemic and travelers looking for better vacation deals.
Persons: Marco Bello, Morningstar, Jaime Katz, David Bernstein, Bernstein, Alex Brignall, Joshua Weinstein, Carnival, Juveria Tabassum, Devika Syamnath, Shweta Agarwal Organizations: Miami Port, Rivals, Cruise Lines, Royal, Reuters, Thomson Locations: Miami , Florida, U.S, Royal Caribbean, Atlantic
In the past year, clothing retailers have sought to clear excess stock that had piled up due to a shift in consumer demand to essentials from discretionary items like clothing. But with fourth-quarter temperatures expected to start off warm, according to weather tracking firm Weather Trends International, stores carrying winter styles and gear could find themselves loaded with inventory at the end of the season. European company Pepco Group (PCOP.WA) also noted that the landing of its autumn and winter clothing inventory had coincided with persistent record-warm weather in its core Central and Eastern European markets. In the United States, temperatures could rise by 2 to 12 degrees Fahrenheit on average in the October-December period compared with last year, according to Weather Trends International. Abercrombie & Fitch (ANF.N) also said there was strong demand for "seasonless products" in the second quarter, particularly in the men's category, as customers picked out year-round clothing items and styles.
Persons: Helena Helmersson, Andy Bond, Bill Kirk, Clodagh, David Swartz, Robert Woods, Kristen D'Arcy, Abercrombie, Simon Wolfson, Ananya Mariam Rajesh, James Davey, Helen Reid, Matthew Lewis Organizations: Reuters, Pepco, Amazon.com, REUTERS, Walmart, Dick's Sporting, Costco Wholesale, Morningstar Research, Vision Brands, Fitch, Thomson Locations: United States, Europe, Cos, Eastern, Grafton, Dublin, Ireland, outerwear, Bengaluru, London
The yield on the 5-year TIPS was 2.48% on Wednesday afternoon, while the rate on the 10-year TIPS was 2.29%. The par value of the bonds adjusts with inflation, based on the consumer price index for all urban consumers. Duration is a measure of a bond's price sensitivity to changes in interest rates, and as bond prices swooned in 2022, TIPS also suffered. "They're not always the perfect inflation hedge in the short term, and they are very sensitive to changes in market interest rates." Be aware that while there are no state or local taxes on interest, federal taxes apply.
Persons: Brett Wander, Morningstar, US5YTIPS, Bill Ahmuty, Amy Arnott, They're, Arnott Organizations: Federal Reserve, Schwab Asset Management, Fed, State Street Global Advisors, Morningstar Research Services Locations: TreasuryDirect
In theory, the more return you hope to earn from an investment, the more risk you'll have to take on. While most asset classes follow the risk/return rules, a couple notable outliers emerge. Commodities, despite being one of the jumpier asset classes, offer the weakest 20-year return at 0.73%. There are compelling cases to be made that, given their outsize performance, large stocks are overvalued compared with other asset classes, such as small-company and developed and emerging markets stocks, Stovall adds. For long-term investors, he says, "nibbling at small- and mid-cap stocks as well as international investments might be a good thing."
Persons: We've, there's, Sam Stovall, they'll, Wayne Gretzky, Stovall, Amy Arnott Organizations: Morningstar Direct, Commodities, Morningstar Research Services
With interest rates hovering near zero for much of the last decade, savers couldn't expect to earn much in interest when they stashed their money. Online banks are offering high-yield savings accounts paying interest in the neighborhood of 5%, according to Bankrate. High-yield savings accounts High-yield savings accounts and money market accounts are both insured, up to $250,000, by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation. Money market funds Money market funds are mutual funds that invest in short-term low-risk debt. There is a very small risk of losing money with these, and they generally pay attractive interest rates and can be quickly liquidated.
Persons: Cash, Amy Arnott, there's, they've, Arnott, Banks, Morgan, Charles Schwab Organizations: Federal Reserve, Morningstar Research Services, ., Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, Vanguard
Wall Street embraces biggest IPO in nearly two years
  + stars: | 2023-09-14 | by ( Nicole Goodkind | ) edition.cnn.com   time to read: +2 min
New York CNN —The largest public offering since 2021 is here. After a nearly two-year drought in the IPO market, UK-based chip designer Arm started trading in New York on Thursday with 95.5 million shares under the ticker ‘ARM’ (ARM) on the Nasdaq. Wall Street views Arm’s listing as a weather balloon for a number of tech companies waiting to go public. A successful debut by Arm could be the big IPO that clears the pipeline for the rest. That would provide a positive market sentiment for the overall stock market.”Goldman Sachs is the lead underwriter in the IPO.
Persons: haven’t, Goldman Sachs, , David Solomon, Dave Sekera, ” Goldman Sachs Organizations: New, New York CNN, ARM, Nasdaq, Trading, Apple, Samsung, Nvidia, Companies, Google, AMD, Morningstar Research Services Locations: New York
That's because the Federal Reserve has been hiking interest rates since March 2022 in an effort to cool inflation. So the question remains: When will we finally see interest rates start to come down? CNBC Select asked three experts to give their take on what lies ahead for interest rates. What we'll coverWhen will interest rates come back down? Existing loans with a variable rate may also start charging less interest as the Fed lowers interest rates.
Persons: Amy Hubble, hasn't, Preston Caldwell, Caldwell, Hubble, Elliot Eisenberg, you'll, it's Organizations: Federal Reserve, CNBC, Federal, Market, Morningstar Research Services, Ally Bank, Navy Federal Credit Union, Jumbo, Navy Federal Credit, PNC Bank, PNC Bank Mortgage, Savings, Axos Bank, FDIC, CNBC Select's, Facebook, Twitter Locations: U.S
Today's "niche" companies and those seen as AI leaders are unlikely to be the biggest winners for long-term investors, said Barry Glassman, a certified financial planner and member of CNBC's Advisor Council. "I've been through this enough to see that the niche players early on may not, in fact, be the long-term plays," Glassman said. Dan Romanoff, senior equity analyst with Morningstar Research Services, echoed that sentiment, saying investors would be hard-pressed to find a good "pure play" AI company in which to invest today. I would ask the question: What company isn't an AI company nowadays? However, it's unclear if such companies will remain among the AI leaders as the technology develops, experts said.
Persons: Jaap Arriens, Barry Glassman, I've, " Glassman, OpenAI, chatbot, Glassman, DocuSign, Dan Romanoff, Romanoff Organizations: Getty, San, Wealth, AOL, Cisco, Morningstar Research Services, Microsoft, Nvidia Locations: San Francisco, Vienna , Virginia, North Bethesda , Maryland
There are no more "sell" ratings for Nvidia on Wall Street following its strong second-quarter earnings. Get the inside scoop on today’s biggest stories in business, from Wall Street to Silicon Valley — delivered daily. Morningstar Research analyst Brian Colello upgraded Nvidia to "hold" from its Wall Street-equivalent rating of "sell" in a note on Wednesday. Such growth might be unprecedented in large-cap tech, but we foresee all types of enterprises investing in AI," Colello said. According to data compiled by Bloomberg, Wall Street has 54 "buy" ratings and five "hold" ratings on Nvidia stock.
Persons: Morningstar, Brian Colello, Colello, Stifel's Ruben Roy, Roy Organizations: Nvidia, Wall, Service, Morningstar Research, Bloomberg Locations: TSMC, Wall, Silicon, Colello
Share Share Article via Facebook Share Article via Twitter Share Article via LinkedIn Share Article via EmailThere hasn't been a 'significant tragedy' related to nuclear waste storage, says MorningstarAdam Fleck director of research, ratings, and ESG at Morningstar Research Services, says the "biggest issue" concerns costs.
Persons: Morningstar Adam Fleck Organizations: Morningstar Research Services
Energy stocks are also this year's underdogs, with the S & P sector down more than 7%. In turn, the limited partners collect income distributions from the business. MLPs aren't subject to federal income taxes, but the limited partners are responsible for levies on the income they receive. In that case, the C-corp pays corporate income taxes and the shareholders are responsible for levies on dividends they get. Tax hurdles Attractive income aside, investors need to be on the lookout for where they keep these MLPs.
Persons: there's, Stephen Ellis, Ellis, MLPs, George Gagliardi, you'll Organizations: West Texas, Energy, Morningstar Research Services, Wealth Management, MLP, Internal Revenue Service
June 20 (Reuters) - Private equity firm KKR (KKR.N) has agreed to purchase a substantial portion, or up to 40 billion euros ($43.71 billion), of payments company PayPal's (PYPL.O) buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans in Europe, the companies said on Tuesday. After the deal closes, PayPal expects to allocate roughly $1 billion to incremental share repurchases in 2023, contributing to an updated outlook of about $5 billion in total share repurchases so far this year. PayPal last year processed more than $20 billion of BNPL payment volume globally, up nearly 160% from 2021. Since launching its BNPL service in 2020, PayPal has issued more than 200 million loans to more than 30 million customers globally. The company said it will continue to remain responsible for all customer-facing activities, including underwriting and servicing associated with its European BNPL products.
Persons: BNPL, Brett Horn, Horn, Manya Saini, Hannah Lang, Arun Koyyur, Will Dunham Organizations: KKR, PayPal, Morningstar Research Services, Thomson Locations: Europe, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Bengaluru, Washington
June 20 (Reuters) - Private equity firm KKR (KKR.N) has agreed to purchase a substantial portion, or up to 40 billion euros ($43.71 billion), of payments company PayPal's (PYPL.O) buy now, pay later (BNPL) loans in Europe, the companies said on Tuesday. After the deal closes, PayPal expects to allocate roughly $1 billion to incremental share repurchases in 2023, contributing to an updated outlook of about $5 billion in total share repurchases so far this year. PayPal last year processed more than $20 billion of BNPL payment volume globally, up nearly 160% from 2021. Since launching its BNPL service in 2020, PayPal has issued more than 200 million loans to more than 30 million customers globally. The company said it will continue to remain responsible for all customer-facing activities, including underwriting and servicing associated with its European BNPL products.
Persons: BNPL, Brett Horn, Horn, Manya Saini, Hannah Lang, Arun Koyyur, Will Dunham Organizations: KKR, PayPal, Morningstar Research Services, Thomson Locations: Europe, France, Germany, Italy, Spain, United Kingdom, Bengaluru, Washington
Additionally, Cargill began marketing several plant-based protein ingredients, made from soy, pea and wheat, to food and beverage manufacturers worldwide. What to expect for plant-based meat in next decade Cargill's calculated approach to plant-based meats coincides with the nascent industry's trajectory. And then there's the consumer's appetite to pay a premium price for plant-based meat. So Cargill's biggest competition will be the established plant-based meat companies, like Beyond and Impossible, he said. The future of plant-based meat might be analogous to the ongoing transition to electric vehicles.
Persons: Florian Schattenmann, Cargill Cargill, Cargill, Schattenmann, it's, John Baumgartner, Baumgartner, Caroline Bushnell, Bushnell, that's, Seth Goldstein, Goldstein, Tyson's Organizations: Cargill, Foods, Tyson Foods, Hormel Foods, Smithfield Foods, Cargill Inc, The, Bloomberg, Getty, Foods Cargill, Mizuho Securities USA, Good Food Institute, Cubiq Foods, FDA, North, Food and Drug Administration, Morningstar Research Services, Nielsen, annualized Nielsen, Nestle, Tesla, tiptoed, Ford, GM, Hyundai, Volkswagen Locations: U.S, Minneapolis, Montreal, Quebec, Canada, Spanish, Berkeley , California, Puris, North American, Netherlands, Bflike, Belgian, North America
Doing nothing pays these days — at least that's the case if you're talking about cash that's sitting in your brokerage account. Consider Fidelity Investments is offering a 2.6% APY on its cash management account, but LPL Financial pays 0.45% on its insured cash account for clients with $300,000 to $500,000 in household value. First, examine your goals for the money before you shop around for cash sweep rates. Finally, if you do pile cash into your sweep account, think about the tax implications of doing so. Some firms offer different options for investing your cash sweep account, including a municipal money market fund for investors who reside in high-tax states.
Latest bank lending data suggests the credit crunch "has already started," according to Morgan Stanley strategists. Here's a selection of recent warnings on the emerging threat from experts including Larry Summers, David Solomon, Mike Wilson, Nouriel Roubini and Bill Gross. Apollo Asset Management's Jim Zelter told Bloomberg "it's not a credit crunch" but rather a "transition period" as markets face higher debt costs. "That credit crunch is going to make the likelihood of a recession — a hard landing — much greater than before. "Whether this qualifies as a full-blown 'credit crunch' remains to be seen.
The VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF has enjoyed strong gains with this strategy. Much like the stocks it targets, the VanEck Morningstar Wide Moat ETF (MOAT) doesn't have much competition. A focus on companies with economic moats, combined with low competition, has helped the MOAT ETF grow to $7.6 billion in assets since its inception in April 2012. It uses fundamental, bottom-up research from the team that compiles Morningstar's Wide Moat Focus Index to target high-quality companies that are set to outperform. "It doesn't stop at just finding a company that has established a competitive advantage," Rakszawski told Insider.
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